{"id":5069,"date":"2026-07-16T08:43:18","date_gmt":"2026-07-16T11:43:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/16\/poderdata-aya-lula-tem-45-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-flavio-43\/"},"modified":"2026-07-16T08:43:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-16T11:43:18","slug":"poderdata-aya-lula-tem-45-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-flavio-43","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/16\/poderdata-aya-lula-tem-45-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-flavio-43\/","title":{"rendered":"PoderData\/AYA: Lula tem 45% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no 2\u00aa turno; Fl\u00e1vio, 43%"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pr\u00e9-candidatos est\u00e3o tecnicamente empatados pela margem de erro de 2 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos; atual presidente tamb\u00e9m empataria com Zema e Caiado<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/autor\/alan-cardoso\/\">Alan Cardoso<\/a>, da CNN Brasil*, S\u00e3o Paulo16\/07\/26 \u00e0s 07:31 | Atualizado 16\/07\/26 \u00e0s 07:31<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lula mant\u00e9m a maior base de seguidores entre os presidenci\u00e1veis, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio lidera a capacidade de mobilizar as redes sociais\u00a0 \u2022 Reprodu\u00e7\u00e3o\/Ag\u00eancia Senado<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">O presidente <strong>Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong> (PT) tem 45% das inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto no 2\u00aa turno contra o senador <strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> (PL), que tem 43% do eleitorado, segundo a pesquisa <strong>PoderData\/AYA<\/strong> divulgada nesta quinta-feira (16).<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Os votos brancos e nulos somam 9%, enquanto 2% dos eleitores n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"404\" src=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9062.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9062.webp 681w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9062-300x178.webp 300w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9062-465x276.webp 465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\"><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/PoderData_AYA_-Lula-tem-45_-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-Flavio-43_-_-CNN-Brasil.htm\">https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/PoderData_AYA_-Lula-tem-45_-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-Flavio-43_-_-CNN-Brasil.htm<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Leia Mais<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/futura-apex-lula-flavio-segundo-turno-julho\/\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/futura-apex-lula-flavio-segundo-turno-julho\/\">Futura\/Apex: Lula tem 46,3% contra 46,1% de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro no 2\u00ba turno<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/poderdata-aya-lula-tem-40-de-votos-no-primeiro-turno-flavio-35\/\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/poderdata-aya-lula-tem-40-de-votos-no-primeiro-turno-flavio-35\/\">PoderData\/AYA: Lula tem 40% de votos no primeiro turno; Fl\u00e1vio, 35%<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/poderdata-aya-lula-empata-com-flavio-barbosa-caiado-e-zema-no-2o-turno\/\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/poderdata-aya-lula-empata-com-flavio-barbosa-caiado-e-zema-no-2o-turno\/\">PoderData\/AYA: Lula empata com Fl\u00e1vio, Barbosa, Caiado e Zema no 2\u00ba turno<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/gerp-aesp-no-2o-turno-flavio-tem-45-e-lula-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Em um poss\u00edvel segundo turno<\/a> contra o l\u00edder do MBL (Movimento Brasil Livre), <strong>Renan Santos<\/strong> (Miss\u00e3o), Lula teria 43% dos votos, contra 38% de Renan. Nesse cen\u00e1rio, 15% dos eleitores votariam branco ou nulo, enquanto 4% n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"665\" height=\"336\" src=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9063.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78341\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9063.webp 665w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9063-300x152.webp 300w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9063-465x235.webp 465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 665px) 100vw, 665px\"><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">J\u00e1 contra o ex-governador de Minas Gerais, <strong>Romeu Zema<\/strong> (Novo), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-45-no-2o-turno-contra-37-de-flavio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lula teria 44% dos votos<\/a>, contra 41% de Zema. Votos brancos e nulos somam 11% e 4% n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/29700971\/embed?auto=1\">https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/29700971\/embed?auto=1<\/a><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"676\" height=\"328\" src=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9064.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78342\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9064.webp 676w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9064-300x146.webp 300w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9064-465x226.webp 465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 676px) 100vw, 676px\"><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/nexus-btg-no-2o-turno-lula-tem-47-das-intencoes-de-voto-e-flavio-44\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Em um cen\u00e1rio de segundo turno<\/a> contra o ex-governador de Goi\u00e1s, <strong>Ronaldo Caiado<\/strong> (PSD), Lula marca 44%, contra 43% de Caiado. Votos brancos e nulos somam 11% e 3% n\u00e3o souberam responder.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"678\" height=\"398\" src=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9065.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9065.webp 678w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9065-300x176.webp 300w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9065-465x273.webp 465w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 678px) 100vw, 678px\"><\/figure>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Metodologia<\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Foram ouvidas 2.400 pessoas em todo o pa\u00eds entre os dias 12 a 15 de julho de 2026. A margem de erro \u00e9 de dois pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos, com n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a de 95%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A pesquisa est\u00e1 registrada no TSE (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral) sob o c\u00f3digo BR-00059\/2026.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Confira a \u00edntegra da pesquisa<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"316\" height=\"344\" src=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9066.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-78344\" style=\"width:675px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9066.webp 316w, https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/image-9066-276x300.webp 276w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 316px) 100vw, 316px\"><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/admin.cnnbrasil.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/07\/Relatorio-PoderData-Eleitoral-16jul26-final.pdf\">https:\/\/admin.cnnbrasil.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/07\/Relatorio-PoderData-Eleitoral-16jul26-final.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-45-no-2o-turno-contra-37-de-flavio\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\"><\/a><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-45-no-2o-turno-contra-37-de-flavio\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/admin.cnnbrasil.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/06\/2_e60d7d.png?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-45-no-2o-turno-contra-37-de-flavio\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\">Quaest: Lula tem 45% no 2\u00ba turno contra 37% de Fl\u00e1vio | CNN Brasil<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-40-no-primeiro-turno-flavio-28\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\"><\/a><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-40-no-primeiro-turno-flavio-28\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/admin.cnnbrasil.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2026\/06\/2_63aaf3.png?w=1200&amp;h=630&amp;crop=1\" alt=\"\"><\/a><\/figure>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/eleicoes\/quaest-lula-tem-40-no-primeiro-turno-flavio-28\/?utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=article\">Quaest: Lula tem 40% no primeiro turno; Fl\u00e1vio, 28% | CNN Brasil<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pesquisas Relacionadas<\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/?search=Lula+Admite+Fim+do+Pt&amp;rsToken=ChMItfys2YzXlQMV1K-VAh0Enzf2EmcBxJMPV3XIUyEsaXrfw-bTlW5WXHu6QpcOT0uDIIUFNswddpsfM17fVDtY0gUByAp8g2X3KHxQ6z3F44ZkGdMz9Wm8vcShThWvg1uls_IQPeLQ7hC1CPMAzpKlpBhj9QhzMNj_gFdEIAMyNAF7LQzJUvtloVV2PslO9UdSqLUAPhEH6VpQwTM8WidloW9JjGtCnJsat17zq7YoAd3vxRI&amp;utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=search\">Lula Admite Fim do Pt<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/?search=CNN+Brasil+Elei%C3%A7%C3%A3o+Lula&amp;rsToken=ChMItfys2YzXlQMV1K-VAh0Enzf2EmcBxJMPV9sW3Swb6Z-sipA9qBv17AZ6EayiuTVWemLTV-IuyCtrAXjEgng2kuTO7LTIz_Si76ljHqn0TGP3rSYo5PDHFASxJQ8u96QWkrWWzoOWXEo_psv5v96Ts-cALliKjPjlf0vEIAMyNAF7LQzJ4t5MiZrDh5QZlowdMzdJeRTTUWefGN7PhVvWhrf7h9ZURdyZElZCJhP6uytJA50&amp;utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=search\">CNN Brasil Elei\u00e7\u00e3o Lula<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/?search=CNN+Brasil+Elei%C3%A7%C3%A3o+Fl%C3%A1vio&amp;rsToken=ChMItfys2YzXlQMV1K-VAh0Enzf2EmYBxJMPV5oUXieJIkZX_3TCsdyhQbJa8kEf52I-QKsB63bPWPYU-KnDDG8L7lVhrae9RWe28WDLb5bSFWn4av7_FkbAc4wCx6iuLE-e99vKvlZzNENppRzG8rqCBUJVO-7oKeq2aW8gAzI0AXstDMkPf_3bKqVa9S9wY6Gb5L2KXbQ2PHJHFRlV6HrFPekD4oph7HtMmUSkLUNXcl1diA&amp;utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=search\">CNN Brasil Elei\u00e7\u00e3o Fl\u00e1vio<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/?search=Vota%C3%A7%C3%A3o+Lula+Livre&amp;rsToken=ChMItfys2YzXlQMV1K-VAh0Enzf2EmYBxJMPV7AJzqajkLkCZA6qBONPZHhz3pR7UCCoy-15PHNOt4yd_eKTwgVcaR45YvFyQ0nXRhvBNBmRCuUduMfJfvjOd1d_3Zga-NVmPM4wxliqkCavzuwPO8FhNp9u4b9xXQgiQ78gAzI0AXstDMmklU45bFOygapkUXjExzzUDyKw3UQ5DshbZQ-2vXeA0ztSDUUVLu-m0zuBTwk5tA&amp;utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=search\">Vota\u00e7\u00e3o Lula Livre<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnnbrasil.com.br\/?search=Pt+Elei%C3%A7%C3%B5es+2022&amp;rsToken=ChMItfys2YzXlQMV1K-VAh0Enzf2EmcBxJMPV6wK0l5rb-smxGPDdxcujljfJSyG5I6v85c9CkUgFcY8qNj_sRX30XJFxtE98unMNyaCeVQ60n0XzD8vQQa3lnmoRVv8ZABCr40Di_3jLXZ2x7_0PMmWloU8eVXnB6Su3GLbIAMyNAF7LQzJd0w8wl3mAn_G_Lb6j1yOj3S6NyF2KOCjQhaN6um4WA6qxz0K_swNyriE2xf1hSk&amp;utm_source=csa-cdm&amp;utm_content=search\">Pt Elei\u00e7\u00f5es 2022<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CNN Brasil<\/p>\n<p><!-- bloco-portais-jbr --><\/p>\n<div class=\"box-portais-jbr\" style=\"border:1px solid #e0e0e0;padding:16px 18px;margin:24px 0;border-radius:8px;background:#f9f9f9;font-size:0.95rem;\">\n<p style=\"margin:0 0 10px 0;font-weight:600;\">\n        Continue sempre bem informado acessando nossos portais:\n    <\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin:0;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px;\">\n            <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/jornaldiadia.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\">Jornal Dia Dia<\/a><\/strong> \u2013<br \/>\n            Sua fonte confi\u00e1vel para as melhores not\u00edcias e artigos \u00fateis. Fique por dentro dos acontecimentos mais importantes, dicas pr\u00e1ticas e conte\u00fados de qualidade.\n        <\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px;\">\n            <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/jbr.jor.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\">Jornal Brasil Regional (JBR)<\/a><\/strong> \u2013<br \/>\n            O pulso do pa\u00eds em tempo real. Not\u00edcias nacionais, regionais e internacionais com \u00e9tica e credibilidade.\n        <\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px;\">\n            <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/castilho.jor.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\">Castilho Not\u00edcias (News)<\/a><\/strong> \u2013<br \/>\n            O seu di\u00e1rio local com cobertura de Castilho e Regi\u00e3o (SP). Jornalismo com credibilidade.\n        <\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px;\">\n            <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/casaejardim.net.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\">Casa e Jardim<\/a><\/strong> \u2013<br \/>\n            Dicas exclusivas sobre decora\u00e7\u00e3o, jardinagem, arquitetura, DIY, reformas e muito mais. Tend\u00eancias, solu\u00e7\u00f5es pr\u00e1ticas e ideias criativas para todos os estilos e or\u00e7amentos.\n        <\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:0;\">\n            <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/b10.net.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"text-decoration:none;\">B10 Brasil<\/a><\/strong> \u2013<br \/>\n            As principais not\u00edcias, an\u00e1lises e insights sobre neg\u00f3cios, economia e soberania nacional. Conectando o Brasil ao mundo com intelig\u00eancia e estrat\u00e9gia.\n        <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><!-- \/bloco-portais-jbr --><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pr\u00e9-candidatos est\u00e3o tecnicamente empatados pela margem de erro de 2 pontos percentuais, para mais ou para menos; atual presidente tamb\u00e9m empataria com Zema e Caiado Alan Cardoso, da CNN Brasil*, S\u00e3o Paulo16\/07\/26 \u00e0s 07:31 | Atualizado 16\/07\/26 \u00e0s 07:31 Lula mant\u00e9m a maior base de seguidores entre os presidenci\u00e1veis, enquanto<span class=\"more-link\"><a href=\"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/2026\/07\/16\/poderdata-aya-lula-tem-45-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-2a-turno-flavio-43\/\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5070,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["entry","author-valdei","post-5069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-news-do-dia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5069","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5069"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5069\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5069"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5069"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/diadianews.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5069"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}